OPT-04 reported AC4 - "net-positive across 12 months of replayed prices" -
as NOT MET and replayed a synthetic year, because scenarios/ held only P1
meter captures. Right call, wrong diagnosis: the criterion was being carried
beside a 30-day METER criterion as though both needed waiting. EPEX BE
day-ahead is public data, not a capture. It needed a fetch.
8760 hourly points, 2025-09-01 to 2026-09-01 Brussels-local, canonical three
fields. Licence checked BEFORE committing: Energy-Charts publishes the BE
zone under CC BY 4.0 from Bundesnetzagentur | SMARD.de and other zones under
private-use-only terms, so this one is redistributable with attribution. The
fetcher refuses to write a file whose per-response license_info stops saying
so. Cross-checked against SMARD's own 4996/DE: 96 of 96 quarter-hours, max
difference 0.00 EUR/MWh.
Raw wholesale, and the file says so. all_in: false, with the markup/tax
assumption carried as numbers to APPLY rather than numbers applied -
TARIFF-02's trap in data form. Section 7B applies it in one visible place and
asserts arithmetically that its additive terms cancel out of every daily
spread, so the trade count turns on the VAT multiplier alone; the raw replay
is run too, so how much rests on the guess is reported (110 vs 88).
DST by construction: iterate in UTC, render through price.brussels().
2025-10-26 is 25 points, 2026-03-29 is 23, verified by counting per Brussels
day rather than asserting 24, and by checking October's 02:00 appears twice
at two offsets with two prices while March's never appears. Both bugs the
point-and-gap accounting caught were real: a UTC-bounded window made the
first day 22 hours, and an inclusive-end off-by-one dropped the last day
silently. A day nobody asked for is not a day with no prices.
THE RESULT, AT THE SHIPPED DEFAULT, WHATEVER IT IS. At 0.10 widened 1.5x to
0.1500: 110 round trips, +24.88 EUR net of the cycle cost. Unwidened, 173.
Nothing tuned - the threshold and the 2.5/1.5 factors are untouched.
And what the owner's decision now has under it: the four reports that a
static ~0.0840 spread does not clear 0.10 all STAND. What was missing is that
a dynamic site clears the widened requirement on 121 of 365 days, median
all-in spread 0.1130, so a median day would clear at 0.0754 - 156 trips,
+35.42 EUR. Reported, not applied.
The synthetic year stays, because the real one cannot grade section 17: not
one of 365 days has a negative DEAREST hour, so a zero there counts something
that could not happen. 7B asserts that degeneracy rather than reporting the
zero.
Size measured, not assumed: 893 KB plain but 74.6 KB as a git object against
56.5 KB gzipped. Git already compresses; 18 KB is not worth making the
provenance block - the licence claim a reviewer must check - unreadable in a
diff.
Nothing wired into the add-on; generic_dayahead is still the live path.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_015VXjA3LWccN1rJsk3okyPC
