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adminandClaude Opus 5 5d7e275df4
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SAFETY-39: slew_w is a ratio to the rail, and gain is what is still wrong
`slew_w: 1000` was derived on 2026-08-22 against a clamp of 1500 W, where
"capping how far the loop can jump ahead of the inverter" was true because the
rail itself bounded the excursion. The live install went to max_w 5000 and the
constant did not move, so the loop crosses its whole output range in 10 s
against a plant NOTES.md §5.10 measured at ~18 s. Measured on the owner's system
2026-09-05 11:43-11:46: a 3.4 kW export drove the setpoint 380 -> 5000 W in five
2 s ticks, the battery to -5154 W past a 5000 VA rating, and the grid from
3.4 kW of EXPORT to 2.8 kW of IMPORT. Nothing was broken; the rail moved.

REPRODUCED FIRST, and one half of it is not reproducible at all. On
plantsim.Plant and on an independent in-repo model: the setpoint stepping a full
1000 W per tick to the rail (48 of 51 export steps), and the meter crossing from
export into import. The -5154 W figure is NOT reproducible in either model,
because both clamp the plant at its rating - so the card's AC "battery no longer
exceeds max_w in simulation" is unfalsifiable and was rewritten rather than met.

THE DELIVERABLE IS THE RELATIONSHIP.
  SLEW_RAIL_FRAC = LOOP_TICK_S / PLANT_SETTLE_S = 2 s / 18 s = 1/9
  slew_w = 0 now means FOLLOW THE RAIL - SLEW_RAIL_FRAC * max_w - exactly as
  integrator_max_w = 0 already means follow max_w. It is the shipped default:
  222 W at max_w 2000, 556 W at 5000, 1067 W at a ~9600 W two-inverter site.
  validate.py rule 10 refuses an explicit value faster than that, graded against
  sum(unit_caps(opts)) - the roster sum, i.e. Controller.site_max_w - so a
  second inverter moves the bound with no operator action.

VERIFIED BY BREAKING IT: restoring slew_w 1000 at max_w 5000 is refused, and the
refusal names the rail, the crossing time, the measurement and what to do.
Equality, one watt of slack, the live interim 400 and slew_w 0 at every rating
all still start.

GAIN IS THE CONSTANT THAT IS STILL WRONG, and it is NOT changed here. Over 51
export steps the over-absorption is FLAT in slew (958 W at 1000, 1081 W at 250)
and monotone in gain (987 W at 0.6, 876 at 0.3, 435 at 0.2): slew_w bounds the
OUTPUT, while the integrator moves gain*error per cycle and reaches a 5000 W
rail in under three ticks whatever the slew is. Two control-law constants moving
in one release on a running house makes the next measurement uninterpretable.

⚠️ N=2: the site rail becomes sum(max_w) ~ 9600 W (inverter B FROM DATASHEET AND
SERIAL, not measured, and sim/plantsim.py's INVERTER_B is A copied), and the
enforced ratio produces 1067 W there automatically. But a growing rail LOOSENS
this bound, and the >= 900 W symptom goes stale at N=2 the same way the constant
did - both stated in the record rather than left to be discovered.

Nothing reached the inverter. The live install still runs the interim slew_w 400
applied by hand on 2026-09-05, which rule 10 accepts unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-06 01:10:15 +02:00

340 lines
17 KiB
Python

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""SAFETY-39's evidence, on admin/goodwe's OWN plant model.
python3 tools/slew_sim.py --repro # ⭐ the 2026-09-05 excursion, replayed
python3 tools/slew_sim.py --slew # the derivation: slew against the rail
python3 tools/slew_sim.py --gain # what the slew does NOT own
python3 tools/slew_sim.py --roster # N=1 -> N=2, and the rail that moved
python3 tools/slew_sim.py --all
WHY THIS IS A SCRIPT AND NOT A `test_*.py`
==========================================
Byte for byte tools/alloc_sim.py's reason, and it has not changed: this needs
admin/goodwe checked out beside this repository for `plantsim.Plant`, and the
add-on's CI job has no credentials for that repository - it is private and the
job's token is minted for this one. A `test_*.py` here is globbed and RUN by
.gitea/workflows/checks.yml, so a file that needs the sibling repo would either
fail the gate or - worse - pass SILENTLY having checked nothing.
So the rig evidence lives here and is quoted in the pull request and in
DECISIONS/SAFETY-39-slew-against-the-rail.md, and test_control.py's SAFETY-39
section grades the same properties in CI against a plant it models itself and
says it models. The two plants are INDEPENDENT - a first-order lag written in
test_control.py versus `plantsim.Plant`'s ramp-plus-lag with an efficiency and
a SoC integrator - and they agree on every sign and rank below, which is worth
more than either alone.
WHAT IS REAL IN HERE
====================
* the control law - `compute()` and `Tuning`, imported out of THIS checkout,
never transcribed.
* the wire - every command goes out through `frame_check.setpoint_atomic()`,
the firmware's own encoder, and back in through `plantsim.parse`/`decode`,
because `Inverter.command()` is what drives the modelled unit.
* the plant - `plantsim.Plant`, the model the rig uses.
MODELLED, and therefore not evidence about the thing modelled:
* the meter. `grid = load - pv - sum(battery)` with no poll delay and no
noise, sampled once per tick. The real P1 is a poll with its own age.
* the tick. 2.0 s, which is what the live install was MEASURED running on
2026-09-05; it is a parameter here (`--tick`) and not a constant, because
the whole of this card is that the derivation depends on the regime.
⚠️ WHAT THIS CANNOT SHOW, SAID BEFORE THE RESULTS RATHER THAN AFTER THEM
=======================================================================
THE -5154 W BATTERY EXCURSION IS NOT REPRODUCIBLE HERE, AND NOT BECAUSE THE
TUNING IS WRONG. `plantsim.Plant.limit()` clamps the plant at `p_max`, so the
modelled battery cannot exceed its rating by one watt at any tuning, on any
step, ever. Neither can test_control.py's model. An acceptance criterion of
"battery power no longer exceeds max_w in simulation" would therefore be
UNFALSIFIABLE - it passes on the broken configuration too - so no criterion in
this card is written on it, and the ticket's own AC to that effect is the one
that had to be rewritten rather than met.
What IS reproducible, and is what everything below measures:
* the setpoint stepping a full `slew_w` per tick, over and over (the live
symptom that escalated 2 -> 1 -> 13 -> 43 large steps per 30 min);
* the loop OVER-ABSORBING - taking more than the site needed - and driving
the meter from EXPORT into IMPORT, i.e. manufacturing the error it chases.
⚠️ INVERTER B DOES NOT EXIST. `plantsim.INVERTER_B` is inverter A's numbers
COPIED, `measured=False`. Every N=2 row below is therefore a result about TWO
COPIES OF A on a 10000 W rail, NOT about the ~9600 W site that B's datasheet
and serial imply (goodwe/NOTES.md §1.1b; B is a GW5048D-ES rated 4600 W, and
that figure may itself be DC). Each such row prints the caveat with it.
"""
import argparse
import math
import os
import pathlib
import sys
HERE = pathlib.Path(__file__).resolve().parent
ADDON = HERE.parent.parent # the goodwe-addon checkout root
def find_sim():
"""admin/goodwe's `sim/` directory, or None - and the caller says which.
$GOODWE_SIM first, the same override test_freeze.py and alloc_sim.py take,
then the sibling checkouts that actually occur. A missing sibling is not a
finding about the control law and must never be reported as one.
"""
cands = []
if os.environ.get("GOODWE_SIM"):
cands.append(pathlib.Path(os.environ["GOODWE_SIM"]))
for up in (ADDON.parent, ADDON.parent.parent):
cands += [up / "goodwe" / "sim", up / "goodwe-session" / "goodwe" / "sim"]
for c in cands:
if (c / "plantsim.py").exists():
return c
return None
def load(sim):
sys.path[:0] = [str(sim), str(sim.parent / "master")]
os.environ.setdefault("GOODWE_ADDON_REPO", str(ADDON))
sys.path[:0] = [str(ADDON / "goodwe_controller")]
import plantsim # noqa: E402
from app import control # noqa: E402
return plantsim, control
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# one experiment
def step_run(plantsim, control, *, gain, slew_w, rail_w, n=1, tick_s=2.0,
export_w=3385.0, load_w=350.0, phase=5, cycles=300, dt=0.05,
lag_s=None):
"""One export step onto a converged loop, through the real wire.
`rail_w` is the SITE rail - what `main.py` hands `compute()` as `max_w`
(`Controller.site_max_w`, the roster sum). Each of the `n` modelled units
is rated `rail_w / n` and is commanded its even share, which is the
arrangement ARCH-01's split-invariance says any valid split is equivalent
to at the meter.
"""
over = {} if lag_s is None else dict(lag_s=lag_s)
spec = dict(plantsim.INVERTER_A, rating_w=rail_w / n, **over)
invs = [plantsim.Inverter.from_spec(name, spec) for name in "AB"[:n]]
site = plantsim.Site(invs, load=load_w, pv=0.0)
tuning = control.Tuning(gain=gain, max_w=rail_w, slew_w=slew_w,
target_grid_w=-10.0)
prev, i_w, sat = 0.0, None, 0
worst_import, peak, biggest, last = -1e9, 0.0, 0.0, None
for c in range(cycles):
if c == phase:
site.pv = export_w + load_w
site.grid = site.load - site.pv - site.battery
# ⚠️ ONE UNIT'S POWER, NOT THE SITE'S SUM, at n > 1. The shipped add-on
# binds a single `inverter_power` sensor, so a two-inverter install has
# a loop that sees unit A only. sitesim.run_site() makes the same choice
# and says at length why feeding the sum would be a KINDER rig than the
# deployment.
actual = invs[0].plant.actual
d = control.compute(prev, site.grid, actual, tuning, sat, i_w)
if c >= phase and last is not None:
biggest = max(biggest, abs(d.target_w - last))
last = d.target_w
prev, i_w, sat = d.target_w, d.i_w, d.sat_count
for inv in invs:
inv.command(d.target_w / n)
site.settle(tick_s, dt=dt)
if c >= phase:
worst_import = max(worst_import, site.grid)
peak = max(peak, abs(site.battery))
return dict(imp=worst_import, over=peak - export_w, step=biggest)
def family(plantsim, control, *, exports=None, phases=(5, 6, 7), **kw):
"""The worst case over a family of step sizes and phases.
⚠️ A FAMILY, NOT ONE STEP, AND THAT IS ITSELF A FINDING. A single run of
this loop is not evidence: the 15 W deadband, the 10 W quantisation and the
phase of the step against the tick move the answer by hundreds of watts,
NON-MONOTONICALLY, so two adjacent slews rank either way depending on which
step you happen to run. The first version of this derivation was a single
step and reported gain 0.3 as WORSE than gain 0.6, which the family shows is
backwards. Everything printed below is a worst case over the family, which
is how admin/goodwe grades the same kind of quantity (config.yaml's "1890
closed-loop runs", "924 runs").
"""
exports = exports or range(1000, 4300, 200)
worst = dict(imp=-1e9, over=-1e9, step=0.0, big=0, runs=0)
for export_w in exports:
for phase in phases:
r = step_run(plantsim, control, export_w=float(export_w),
phase=phase, **kw)
worst["runs"] += 1
worst["imp"] = max(worst["imp"], r["imp"])
worst["over"] = max(worst["over"], r["over"])
worst["step"] = max(worst["step"], r["step"])
worst["big"] += r["step"] >= 900.0
return worst
def row(label, w):
print(f" {label:<44} step {w['step']:6.0f} W "
f"{w['big']:3}/{w['runs']} runs >= 900 W "
f"over-absorbed {w['over']:6.0f} W meter to {w['imp']:+7.0f} W")
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def repro(ps, ct, tick_s):
print("⭐ THE 2026-09-05 EXCURSION, REPLAYED - gain 0.6, max_w 5000, "
f"slew_w 1000, {tick_s:.0f} s tick")
print(" Live, 11:43:55-11:45:55: grid -3385 W, setpoint 380 -> 5000 in five")
print(" ticks, battery -5154 W, grid +2831 W. One 3385 W export step here:\n")
print(f" {'t':>5} {'grid in':>9} {'setpoint':>9} {'battery':>9} {'grid out':>9} reason")
spec = dict(ps.INVERTER_A)
inv = ps.Inverter.from_spec("A", spec)
site = ps.Site([inv], load=350.0, pv=0.0)
t = ct.Tuning(gain=0.6, max_w=5000.0, slew_w=1000.0, target_grid_w=-10.0)
prev, i_w, sat = 0.0, None, 0
for c in range(34):
if c == 5:
site.pv = 3385.0 + 350.0
site.grid = site.load - site.pv - site.battery
g = site.grid
d = ct.compute(prev, g, inv.plant.actual, t, sat, i_w)
prev, i_w, sat = d.target_w, d.i_w, d.sat_count
inv.command(d.target_w)
site.settle(tick_s, dt=0.05)
print(f" {c * tick_s:5.0f} {g:9.0f} {d.target_w:9.0f} "
f"{site.battery:9.0f} {site.grid:9.0f} {d.reason}")
print("\n ⚠️ THE BATTERY NEVER PASSES 5000 W HERE AND CANNOT: plantsim.Plant")
print(" clamps at its rating. The -5154 W figure is NOT reproducible in")
print(" this model at any tuning, so nothing in this card is graded on it.")
print(" What IS reproduced is the setpoint stepping 1000 W a tick to the")
print(" rail, and the meter crossing from export into import.")
def slew_table(ps, ct, tick_s, rail):
frac = ct.SLEW_RAIL_FRAC
print(f"THE DERIVATION - gain 0.6, site rail {rail:.0f} W, {tick_s:.0f} s tick, "
f"51 export steps 1.0-4.2 kW\n")
print(f" the constraint: the loop must not cross its whole output range "
f"faster than the")
print(f" plant settles. {rail:.0f} W / ({ct.PLANT_SETTLE_S:.0f} s / "
f"{tick_s:.0f} s per tick) = {frac * rail:.0f} W per tick.\n")
for slew in (1000, 800, 700, 600, int(frac * rail), 500, 400, 300, 250):
w = family(ps, ct, gain=0.6, slew_w=float(slew), rail_w=rail,
tick_s=tick_s)
tag = " <- the derived value" if slew == int(frac * rail) else (
" <- the 2026-09-05 live pair" if slew == 1000 else (
" <- the live interim" if slew == 400 else ""))
row(f"slew_w {slew}{tag}", w)
print("\n READ IT THIS WAY. The >= 900 W step - the live symptom, which")
print(" escalated 2 -> 1 -> 13 -> 43 per 30 min that morning - is gone from")
print(" every run below 900 W of slew, and that is what the slew owns.")
print(" The OVER-ABSORPTION does not move, and at the slowest slews it is")
print(" slightly WORSE. The rig cannot pick the derived value out of that")
print(" column, and it is not asked to: the CONSTRAINT picks it, and this")
print(" table is what says what the constraint does and does not buy.")
def gain_table(ps, ct, tick_s, rail):
frac = ct.SLEW_RAIL_FRAC
print(f"WHAT THE SLEW DOES NOT OWN - slew_w at the derived "
f"{frac * rail:.0f} W, gain swept\n")
for gain in (0.6, 0.5, 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, 0.1):
w = family(ps, ct, gain=gain, slew_w=frac * rail, rail_w=rail,
tick_s=tick_s)
row(f"gain {gain}" + (" <- shipped" if gain == 0.6 else ""), w)
print("\n `slew_w` bounds the OUTPUT. The integrator accumulates")
print(" `gain * error` per cycle and is bounded only by `integrator_max_w`,")
print(" so at gain 0.6 into a 3.4 kW error it moves ~2000 W per tick and")
print(f" reaches the {rail:.0f} W rail in under three ticks WHATEVER the slew is.")
print(" The over-absorption is therefore a GAIN term. `gain: 0.6` is the")
print(" next constant to re-derive; SAFETY-39 measured it and changed")
print(" nothing, because two control-law constants moving in one release on")
print(" a running house makes the next measurement uninterpretable.")
def roster_table(ps, ct, tick_s):
frac = ct.SLEW_RAIL_FRAC
print("N=1 -> N=2: THE RAIL IS WHAT MOVED\n")
print(" ⚠️ INVERTER B DOES NOT EXIST (SPIKE-04, ~2026-09-12) AND")
print(" plantsim.INVERTER_B IS INVERTER A COPIED, measured=False. The")
print(" N=2 rows are therefore about TWO COPIES OF A on a 10000 W rail.")
print(" The site B actually implies is ~9600 W (5000 + 4600), and 4600 is")
print(" B's DATASHEET and SERIAL, not a measurement, and may be DC -")
print(" goodwe/NOTES.md §1.1b. Read the rows as architecture, not as a")
print(" prediction about this house.\n")
for n, rail in ((1, 5000.0), (2, 10000.0)):
for slew in (1000.0, frac * rail):
w = family(ps, ct, gain=0.6, slew_w=slew, rail_w=rail, n=n,
tick_s=tick_s)
lab = (f"n={n} rail {rail:.0f} slew {slew:.0f}"
+ (" [B = A COPIED]" if n == 2 else ""))
row(lab, w)
print(f"\n The derived value at the REAL 9600 W site is "
f"{frac * 9600:.0f} W per tick, and")
print(" validate.py reads it off `sum(unit_caps(opts))` - the same number")
print(" `Controller.site_max_w` builds - so adding inverter B moves the")
print(" bound with no operator action and no second derivation.")
print("\n ⚠️ AND THE DIRECTION IS NOT THE ONE THE TICKET ASSUMED. A rail that")
print(" GROWS loosens this bound: slew_w 1000 crosses a 9600 W rail in")
print(" 19.2 s and PASSES, while at 5000 W the same 1000 is the")
print(" configuration that was measured failing. That is what the")
print(" constraint says and it is correct - the bound is on how long the")
print(" crossing TAKES, and a bigger rail at the same step size takes")
print(" longer to cross.")
print("\n ⚠️ AND THE >= 900 W STEP COUNT STAYS AT 48/51 AT THE DERIVED VALUE")
print(" ON THE N=2 ROW, WHICH IS NOT A FAILURE - IT IS THE THRESHOLD GOING")
print(" STALE, on the same day and in the same way as the constant. 900 W")
print(" was a meaningful step against a 5000 W rail; against 10000 W the")
print(" derived step IS 1111 W, and a check written on the absolute 900")
print(" would report the correct tuning as broken. Anything grading this")
print(" symptom at N>=2 has to grade it as a FRACTION of the rail too.")
print("\n WHAT DOES NOT GET WORSE HERE, STATED BECAUSE IT WAS EXPECTED TO.")
print(" Over the SAME family of 1.0-4.2 kW export steps, doubling the rail")
print(" does not worsen the over-absorption (958 -> 810 W): the extra rail")
print(" is headroom these disturbances never ask for. That is a statement")
print(" about this family, not about the site - a bigger site sees bigger")
print(" steps, and the over-absorption is a `gain` term either way, which")
print(" the enforced ratio does not bound and this card did not change.")
def main():
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
ap.add_argument("--repro", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--slew", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--gain", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--roster", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--all", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--tick", type=float, default=None,
help="seconds per control cycle (default: control.LOOP_TICK_S)")
ap.add_argument("--rail", type=float, default=5000.0)
a = ap.parse_args()
if not any((a.repro, a.slew, a.gain, a.roster, a.all)):
a.all = True
sim = find_sim()
if sim is None:
sys.exit("slew_sim: admin/goodwe's sim/ is not beside this checkout, so "
"plantsim.Plant is unavailable. Clone it as a sibling or set "
"$GOODWE_SIM. This is a missing repository, NOT a result about "
"the control law - do not report it as one.")
ps, ct = load(sim)
tick = a.tick if a.tick is not None else ct.LOOP_TICK_S
print(f"slew_sim: plant from {sim}")
print(f" control law from {ADDON / 'goodwe_controller' / 'app'}")
print(f" {ps.Inverter.from_spec('A', ps.INVERTER_A).describe()}")
print(f" tick {tick:.1f} s, SLEW_RAIL_FRAC {ct.SLEW_RAIL_FRAC:.4f} "
f"= {ct.LOOP_TICK_S:.0f} s / {ct.PLANT_SETTLE_S:.0f} s\n")
if a.repro or a.all:
repro(ps, ct, tick); print()
if a.slew or a.all:
slew_table(ps, ct, tick, a.rail); print()
if a.gain or a.all:
gain_table(ps, ct, tick, a.rail); print()
if a.roster or a.all:
roster_table(ps, ct, tick)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()