Commit Graph
8 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
adminandClaude Opus 5 f620f7cf80 TARIFF-07: three plugins that never fetched a price are withdrawn, and a site configured on one is told so
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m12s
engie_dynamic, totalenergies_dynamic and eneco_eddy are removed from PROVIDERS
and from every surface that listed them. They did not stop working - they never
worked. Re-verified by hand on 2026-09-13 before deleting anything: 404 with
Kong's "no Route matched with those values"; a TLS handshake that fails because
api.totalenergies.be is absent from the certificate's SAN list; 404 with an
empty body. All three are also structurally impossible - the coefficients are
per-contract and behind a customer login, there is no regulator index, and
"Eddy" is not an Eneco product at all.

⚠️ BACKWARD-INCOMPATIBLE. A config legal on the current version is refused on
the next. That is the point of the change: §11.4 turned every failed fetch into
a silent fall back, so a site on one of these ids has been running on
static_profile - or on nothing - since the day it was set, with nothing on its
status page ever differing from a working provider that never found a cheap
hour. validate.py now refuses a retired id with a message naming the id, the
endpoint, what that endpoint answers, which tariff has really been in force,
and what to set instead. No version number is picked here; that depends on a
fact about the live box.

⚠️ config.yaml's price_provider enum deliberately KEEPS all three ids. The
Supervisor validates the options file against that enum before the add-on
starts, so removing them would make an existing config schema-invalid and the
refusal above would never be reached on exactly the sites that need it.
PROVIDERS is two; the enum stays six; test_price.py asserts the schema offers
exactly PROVIDERS | RETIRED_PROVIDERS | {"off"}, derived rather than typed, and
register() refuses to re-register a retired id.

PriceProduct.REALTIME, _WIDE, Uncertainty.REALTIME_PRODUCT and WIDEN_FACTOR's
2.5 are KEPT with no shipped declarer - it is the AC2 seam, and a reviewer
finding a mechanism with zero callers would reasonably delete it. Recorded in
DECISIONS/TARIFF-07-withdrawing-three-plugins.md and pinned by a check.

False claims corrected: every "Belgian imbalance product" claim about
eneco_eddy (DOCS.md, price_forecast.py, price_history.py, static_tariff.py,
FCST-04, CHANGELOG - the two released entries annotated in place rather than
rewritten); the quarter-hourly examples now cite Belgian day-ahead, which
really does settle per quarter since the 15-minute MTU; and
export_price_eur_kwh's "no shipped supplier publishes a dynamic injection
curve", which is false - Eneco publishes 0,1 x BELPEX-H - 1,188 and ENGIE
(B x eSpot_15) - A, same two-coefficient shape with its own coefficients and
its own VAT treatment, so the scalar is a simplification and not the market.

DOCS.md's provider table is two rows and now says honestly what a Belgian
dynamic customer should do today, including that generic_dayahead cannot
express B x spot + A and that price_markup_eur_kwh: float(0,1) could not hold a
negative offset. The formula provider is referenced as planned, not built.

_points_from_json() went with the plugins it served: it read a shape no feed
anybody here has ever reached publishes. The one place it survives is a
negative stimulus, named row_shape_body().

Nine mutations driven, all red; table in the decision record. 29/29 suites
green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-13 02:46:15 +02:00
Claude Opus 5 17b7b447c4 TARIFF-09: ask the day-ahead feed for the horizon it was handed
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m10s
`generic_dayahead.fetch()` accepted `since` and `until` and requested the
bare `?bzn=BE`, which answers ONE Brussels day. Everything past today was
then filled from yesterday's profile by FCST-04, flagged provisional, and
§8.3 drops provisional hours from the trade set -- so the optimiser never
saw tomorrow as firm, at any hour of any day, and nothing reported it.

Measured on 4257e38 at 2026-09-10T09:00+02:00, 48 h horizon, live feed,
yesterday seeded through the shipped read path:

    60 firm points (15 whole hours) + 33 carried hours of 48 requested
    carried: 24 h on 2026-09-11, 9 h on 2026-09-12
    arbitrage(0.10): buy 11:45 and sell 19:45 -- BOTH on 2026-09-10
    firm local days = [2026-09-10]

The ceiling was structural: with a one-day window, at hour H a 48 h horizon
is at most 24-H firm and 24+H carried. At 23:00 that is 1 and 47, and the
remaining firm spread (0.0464 EUR/kWh) no longer clears the default 0.10
threshold, so arbitrage is refused outright. FCST-04's fill covers the
window until the ~13:00-14:00 CET auction; it was never meant to cover
every hour of every day.

The data exists and the endpoint serves it: verified 2026-09-10T07:45:49Z,
`?bzn=BE&start=2026-09-09&end=2026-09-10` returns 192 quarter-hours across
two local days. Committed unmodified beside TARIFF-08's captures, with the
URL, retrieval time and sha256 recorded and RE-DERIVED by the replay.

THE RANGE IS DERIVED ON THE BRUSSELS CALENDAR, not the UTC one. 22:30 UTC
in summer is already tomorrow in Belgium, so a UTC-derived start asks for
the day the controller has just left and drops the day it is standing in,
for the last one or two hours of every day. That is `_bdate()`'s lesson one
layer up with a worse consequence: `_bdate()` misfiles an hour, this never
fetches it. `until` is exclusive, so local midnight belongs to the day
before it; an inverted window collapses to one day rather than a backwards
range. Both ends are graded and both are driven red by mutation.

After, same code path and window, a feed serving both days: 39 firm hours
and 9 carried (was 15 and 33), firm across TWO Brussels days, and the
permitted cycle buys on one day and sells on the next.

`price_feed_url` IS THE EXACT URL AND THE PLUGIN APPENDS NOTHING. `start`/
`end` are this feed's spelling and the provider declares a second host
whose parameters are different, so merging would produce a request nobody
typed and the short horizon anyway. The cost is real, so it is not silent:
a WARNING on the shipped logger at fetch time names the consequence and the
start..end that would otherwise have been asked for. `dated_feed_url()`
refuses to append to a base that already carries a query string, so the
blind-append shape cannot come back by edit.
DECISIONS/TARIFF-09-the-range-and-the-override.md argues the alternative.

Before publication nothing regresses and it is graded, not assumed: at
09:46 CEST the two-day request came back byte-identical to the one-day
body, and that stays a `series` of what exists with FCST-04 filling the
rest. A `no_data` there would switch a working site's arbitrage off every
morning -- the mutation that adds that rule is red by name.

The plugin contract is still NOT enforced: three shipped plugins point at
endpoints nobody has verified, and a rule obliging them to pass a range
would be satisfied by an invented parameter name -- TARIFF-08's defect
moved from the response to the request. Which plugins consume the range is
pinned as a literal instead.

11 mutations, all red, no survivors; each applied to a fresh copy of the
tree rather than reverted, through tools/mutation_run.sh. One is +0 B (a
single price digit inside the committed capture) and the re-derived sha256
catches it. MUTATION.md habit 20 records why a fixture could never have
reached this: a captured body is the answer to a URL, and no property of a
body says which URL was asked for. All 29 suites green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-10 10:35:12 +02:00
adminandClaude Opus 5 7a5281e97f Merge release/1.0 (FCST-06) into TARIFF-08
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m10s
One conflict, in CHANGELOG.md's `## Unreleased` block, exactly as expected
from two branches landing beside each other: both `_this branch_` table rows
and both sections are kept, FCST-06's first. Nothing else conflicted -
FCST-06's `test_price_history.py` section 5d and this branch's columnar
`feed_body()` merged cleanly - and all 29 test files are green on the result.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-10 09:06:39 +02:00
adminandClaude Opus 5 6eba18968c TARIFF-08: the day-ahead feed is read in the shape it actually publishes
checks / unit (pull_request) Failing after 3s
`generic_dayahead` could not read one byte of `api.energy-charts.info`, and
never had been able to. `_points_from_json()` asks for `doc["data"]`, a list of
`{start, price_eur_mwh}` objects; that document does not exist. Fetched live on
2026-09-10 the feed returns COLUMNAR parallel arrays and no `data` key at all -
`unix_seconds` (96 UTC epoch seconds, 900 s apart), `price` (96 floats),
`unit: 'EUR / MWh'`. Driving the shipped parser against that body:
`SourceUnavailable: the feed carried no 'data' list`. It is the only shipped
provider whose endpoint anybody has reached, so dynamic pricing did not work.

AND §11.4 MADE IT SILENT, which is why it survived to release: a parse error
becomes no_data, becomes the static profile, becomes arbitrage off - the
CORRECT degradation, saying nothing about the cause. A site would have sat on
the fallback indefinitely.

AND THE SUITE COULD NOT SEE IT, because every fixture was built from the
parser's own assumption. test_price.py, test_price_history.py and
test_static_tariff.py each built `json.dumps({"data": [...]})`, a shape invented
here and published by nobody, so the checks graded the parser against the
parser's guess - a closed loop no coverage inside it could ever have escaped.
MUTATION.md habit 19 records it as the fourteenth instance of habit 4 and the
first where the fixture and the code under test shared a SHAPE, not a number.

WHAT CHANGED

* `_points_from_columnar_json()` - a SECOND function, not a sniff. A parser that
  decides which document it received is one that can decide wrong, and a
  wrong-but-parseable response then becomes a price. Feeding the row shape to
  `generic_dayahead` is now a graded no_data.
* Unequal arrays are refused in both directions, with the two lengths in the
  reason. `zip()` stops at the shorter list silently, and a truncated `price`
  array would have produced a real series missing the evening peak - traded on
  as complete, where no data at all switches arbitrage off.
* A unit that is not EUR/MWh is refused. The plugin converts with a fixed
  0.001, and `MAX_PLAUSIBLE_EUR_KWH` only bounds prices that are too LARGE.
* `unix_seconds` are read as UTC instants explicitly; §9.3's Brussels rendering
  stays in `assemble()` rather than being copied into the plugin, where a
  mutation could not tell it from a no-op (M4 proved exactly that on a first
  draft, and the line was removed rather than fenced).
* A published null is dropped and logged with a count; an all-null body is
  no_data named by this parser rather than by the boundary validator.

FIXTURES

Two unmodified response bodies under `scenarios/`, captured by hand on
2026-09-10: quarter-hourly (2026-09-10, 96 points at 900 s) and hourly
(2025-09-10, 24 at 3600 s - the same endpoint before Belgium's 15-minute MTU).
`energy-charts-be-price-captures.json` records the URL, retrieval time, unit,
licence-as-returned and a sha256 of each, and the replay RE-DERIVES the
checksums, so a fixture edited to make a check pass stops being a capture. Data
CC BY 4.0, Bundesnetzagentur | SMARD.de, via Energy-Charts (Fraunhofer ISE),
published without changes - the same BE-zone licence check DATA-02 established.

The surviving invented fixtures are renamed `synthetic_row_feed` at every call
site. `engie_dynamic`, `totalenergies_dynamic` and `eneco_eddy` are untouched
and have no capture: their URLs are unverified and withdrawing them is
TARIFF-07's open decision. Nothing should read their green checks as evidence
that those feeds parse.

MUTATIONS - 12, all red, no survivors. Purged tree, mounted `:ro`, `python3 -B`
(TEST-15). M1 drop the equal-length refusal; M2 make it one-sided; M3 drop the
unit check; M4 `assemble()` stops rendering at the Brussels offset; M5 read
`unix_seconds` as a naive local clock; M6 zero-fill a null instead of dropping
it; M7 drop the all-null refusal; M8 sniff for the row shape; M9 drop the
deprecated warning; M10 drop the dropped-nulls warning; M11 edit one price in
the committed capture; M12 point `generic_dayahead` back at the row parser -
red across all three price suites.

END TO END, LIVE, 2026-09-10: `resolve_tariff()` returns a `TariffPlan`,
`origin='provider'`, 96 quarter-hourly points, spacing [900] s, no decimation,
first point 2026-09-10T00:00:00+02:00 at 0.30608 EUR/kWh all-in. FCST-04's H1
fix was never theoretical. All 29 test files green.

STILL OPEN: `generic_dayahead` asks for no date range, so the default URL
returns one published day - a full 48 h horizon is reached only through §8.3's
carry-forward fill.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-10 08:57:32 +02:00
adminandClaude Opus 5 c45893ffad FCST-06: "cannot persist" becomes one question, asked once, about the outcome
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m14s
price_history.py's docstring states its rule unconditionally - "A store that
cannot persist now records nothing, and both of its answers say the same
thing" - and FCST-04 enforced it against `not self.ok` only, which is one
SYMPTOM: the durable volume is missing. `ok` is about the DIRECTORY, and a
read-only remount and a full disk both leave it True. Reproduced on 5059e28
against two real volumes, a /data bind-mounted read-only and a full tmpfs:

    last_error = 'could not write ([Errno 30] Read-only file system)'
    words      = '2026-01-14 (24 points over 24 h); 2026-01-15 (24 points
                  over 24 h) [could not write (...)]'
    yesterday()= series, 24 points
    ON DISK    = {}

`words` and `yesterday()` were describing two different stores, and the 24
points were gone on the next restart with nothing saying so - the
silently-forgetting cache that rule exists to refuse, reached by the condition
it did not name. No shipped path reaches it: /data is the Supervisor's durable
volume and this module is its only writer. The defect is that a guarantee the
module states about itself did not hold in one condition.

Route taken: `_remember()` refuses to retain what it could not write, and the
docstring's claim stands as written. It is now ONE derived predicate rather
than two places testing two symptoms. "Can this store persist?" cannot be
answered BEFORE the attempt - a directory that existed and was writable a
moment ago is not a write that completed - so it is answered after it, once,
by the only thing holding the evidence: `_save()` returns whether the file now
holds what memory holds. No volume is one False, an OSError is another.
`_remember()` keeps only what that one answer says was kept, and the
`not self.ok` test in `_remember()` is GONE rather than joined by a second one.
FCST-04's M4 and FCST-05's HIGH were the same shape, so a third cause now needs
no third branch.

What is undone is the MERGE, not the store. The state restored is the last one
that IS on disk, so a site whose volume fills at 14:00 goes on answering the
yesterday it wrote at 13:30 - that record survives a restart, so answering it
is not a promise the store cannot keep. It stops adding to it. The snapshot is
copy.deepcopy: a one-level copy shares the day record the merge rebinds
`points` on, and measured with one, a store holding 12 persisted points
answered 24 after a failed merge.

Not fatal, deliberately: §6 and this module's opening - a broken cache must not
be a broken controller, and an add-on that will not start because /data filled
up is a worse defect than this one. `_save()` reports and returns; the shipped
resolve_tariff() path still gives a provider plan with no §11.4 degradation.
What changed is that the failure is now acted on rather than only logged.

test_price_history.py section 5d drives it on two REAL failures with different
syscalls and different errnos - a directory where the file goes (os.replace,
EISDIR) and a volume moved out from under an open store (mkstemp, ENOENT) -
because the rule is enforced on the outcome and one cause would grade a
coincidence. DOCS.md's "where there is no /data" sentence is widened to the
condition the code now holds to.

MUTATION.md gains what M4 exposed: a mutation whose red is a TRACEBACK reports
however many checks ran before it and grades none after it. M4 first printed
1 FAIL; the true figure is 3. An f-string operand read `len(read.points)`, and
`.points` on a no_data raises `Absence` by design - why()'s rule arriving in
what a check PRINTS rather than in what it asserts. `npts()` is now beside
why(), and a red count is a lower bound until the run is seen to reach the end
of its section.

6 mutations, purged tree, every one RED on named checks, no survivors:
M1 self._days = before -> dict(self._days)          +10 B  9 red
M2 _save() OSError handler returns True             -1 B   9 red
M3 _save() returns True on `not self.ok`            -1 B   3 red
M4 self._days = before -> self._days = {}           -4 B   3 red
M5 copy.deepcopy -> dict                            -9 B   3 red
M6 `if not self.ok: return` back in _remember()     +43 B  1 red

All 29 test files green. Nothing deployed; no option added; config.yaml and
app/ behaviour on a healthy /data untouched. No version number picked - that
is the open decision the Unreleased block names.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-10 08:43:17 +02:00
glenn schrooyenandClaude Opus 5 375a1e29d2 FCST-05: one byte stops stopping the add-on, and the write path gets the read path's standard
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m10s
HIGH - a non-UTF-8 byte in /data/price_history.json stopped the add-on
from starting. `_load()` caught `(json.JSONDecodeError, OSError)`.
`UnicodeDecodeError` is `ValueError -> UnicodeError -> UnicodeDecodeError`:
neither of those, and `issubclass(UnicodeDecodeError, OSError)` is False. So
it escaped `_load()` -> `_open()` -> `PriceHistory.__init__`, which
`Controller.__init__` does not guard - breaking `_load()`'s own stated
contract, "a corrupt cache must not stop the controller". The handler now
names the ValueError FAMILY (the file's content) beside OSError (its bytes),
because a third subclass nobody has thought of is how this arrived the first
time. The suite could not see it: its "unreadable file" fixture writes
"{ this is not json", which is valid UTF-8 and fails one step later, in
`json`. A fixture holding a genuinely undecodable byte is now beside it,
with the difference between the two asserted as a precondition.

MEDIUM - a malformed `start` under the day the feed is writing to killed the
tariff plan permanently. `_remember()` merged with `{q["start"]: q ...}` and
sorted on `q["start"]`, trusting a value read off /data to be a hashable,
sortable string. An int, null, a dict or a list raised TypeError out of
`carry()` -> `resolve_tariff()` -> `run_tariff_refresh`, which catches
Exception - so the add-on stayed UP while every refresh raised forever, the
plan retiring after TARIFF_MAX_AGE_S with arbitrage and the cheap window off
for good, and no self-heal because `_remember()` raised before `_save()`.
The read path was properly defensive throughout, which is why `yesterday()`
survived and the existing fixture passed - it files its malformed rows under
a day the feed is NOT writing to. Both paths now share one validator,
`_point_of()`. A row that is not a point is dropped, reported, and written
back out clean.

...and the status row said the store was healthy while the plan was dead:
`words` read '2026-01-15 (1 h)'. `_load()` now counts the rows inside a kept
record as well as the record itself, so the store stops reporting plain
health from the moment it is opened; the note names what was FOUND at open
and what was DROPPED by the refresh, and clears once the file is rewritten.

...and the merge key is the validated INSTANT rather than its spelling,
which is what rule 4 already said. The lexicographic sort beside the string
key also put the second 02:00 of the 25-hour October day (+01:00) before the
first (+02:00); stored order only, since `_parse_points()` re-sorts.

LOW - the status row counted POINTS and printed them under the HOUR's name:
'2026-01-13 (96 h)' for a 24-hour day on the quarter-hourly feed this add-on
already supports. It is now '96 points over 24 h' - two facts, each under
its own unit.

LOW - two stated reasons were false. `_audit`'s "WHY IT IS STRICTER" claimed
the rework refused the same published point emitted twice and a carried
point sharing a published hour, "which the old count never looked at". A
differential over the whole domain the audit can express finds ZERO
divergence in both directions: the old `seen` count already refused the
first (one point twice is one hour twice) and the old IDENTITY rule already
refused the second. The reworked audit is EQUAL to FCST-03's, not stronger;
the only behavioural change is the intended relaxation, and it stays. The
differential is committed as a check rather than left as prose.

...and the audit's real limit is named: it does not check COMPLETENESS. Fed
the decimation defect FCST-04 was raised for it ACCEPTS, and it accepts an
empty output. So `_audit` is not what stops that recurring - the count and
identity checks are, and the text now points at them. Not made complete:
`published` is the whole read while the fill emits only [since, until), so
the rule as stated is wrong, and building it takes the 1/12/48 h horizon
checks red on a healthy feed. Measured, not assumed.

12 mutations, purged tree, every one RED, no survivors. All 29 test files
green. Nothing deployed; no option added; config.yaml untouched.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-10 01:04:30 +02:00
glenn schrooyenandClaude Opus 5 b59f5ce31b FCST-04: the carry-forward stops decimating a quarter-hourly feed, and a broken cache stops stopping the add-on
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m22s
Rework of the FCST-04 branch against review. Every finding below was proven by
a runnable script before it was touched and re-run after; every check added or
repaired was driven red by a mutation, `__pycache__` purged first (MUTATION.md,
TEST-15). 29/29 test files green.

⚠️ H1 - A SUB-HOURLY FEED WAS DECIMATED TO ONE POINT AN HOUR, AND THE SPREAD
WENT WITH IT. `fill_from_yesterday()` keyed the published set as
`{_utc_hour(p.start): p for p in r.points}` - LAST POINT OF THE HOUR WINS, the
other three dropped. `eneco_eddy` is the Belgian imbalance product and settles
per QUARTER, and `_validate_raw()` accepts any strictly-increasing spacing, so
this is a shape the product supports today. Measured on a 96-point quarter-hourly
feed - ALL FIRM, FULLY PUBLISHED, nothing to carry: the plan reached the
optimiser as 15 points, the arbitrage spread fell from 0.143 to 0.014 EUR/kWh,
and the cheapest "hour" became a `:45` point whose `at()` window runs into the
next one. Not the windowing effect this card is about; a feed losing 84 % of its
own prints, with no flag anywhere reporting it. The fill now decides only WHICH
WHOLE HOURS NEED CARRYING: every published point inside the window passes
through BY IDENTITY, and a carried point is added only for a whole hour with no
published coverage at all. Same feed, same fixture: 60 of 60 firm points kept,
spread 0.134 over the hours still ahead.

⚠️ AND `_audit()` GOT STRICTER, NOT LOOSER - that was the condition on doing it
at all. The old post-condition refused any repeated `_utc_hour`, a count that
cannot express four points in one hour. Two rules replace it and SUBSUME it: a
published point must BE one of that hour's published points by identity and may
be emitted only once; a carried point may stand only in an hour absent from the
published set, must be flagged True, and may not repeat. So the duplicated
carried hour it existed to catch still raises, the same published point emitted
twice now raises, and a carried point sharing an hour with a real print now
raises too - which the count never looked at. Three mutations, three reds.

⚠️ H2 - A DAY RECORD THAT WAS NOT A RECORD STOPPED THE ADD-ON FROM STARTING.
`_load()` validated `version` and that `days` is a dict, never that each VALUE
is one. `{"version": 1, "days": {"2026-01-14": "oops"}}` loaded as ok=True,
last_error=None, and then `rec.get(...)` raised AttributeError out of `words`,
`yesterday()` and `resolve_tariff()` alike. `PriceHistory(...)` and `.words` are
both unguarded in `Controller.__init__`, so the controller did not come up - and
it never self-healed, because `_remember()` raised on the same record before it
could reach `_save()`. That falsifies the CHANGELOG's "A BROKEN CACHE IS NOT A
BROKEN CONTROLLER" in the one direction that matters. The asymmetry that
produced it is visible in the file: `_parse_points()` is carefully defensive
about every field of a POINT and `_load()` was not defensive about the record
holding them. Unusable records are now dropped and REPORTED (`words` says how
many and why), and `words` is total by construction as a second line.

M3 - `yesterday()` WAS OFF BY ONE DAY FOR 00:00-00:59 AFTER SPRING-FORWARD.
`brussels()` renders at the FIXED offset for that instant, so `brussels(stamp) -
timedelta(days=1)` subtracts 24 ABSOLUTE hours - and the Brussels day before the
March transition is 23 hours long. At 2026-03-30T00:30+02:00 it returned
2026-03-28's prices as "yesterday", or `no_data` naming a date that is not
yesterday. The arithmetic is now on the local DATE, which has no offset to lose,
and both transitions have a check - the module's headline claim had none.

M4 - WITH NO /data THE STORE STILL FILLED, IN MEMORY. `_save()` short-circuited
on `not ok` while `_remember()` populated `self._days` anyway: `words` said
"unavailable" and `yesterday()` answered A SERIES that is gone on the next
restart. The module docstring rejects exactly that ("a yesterday that silently
forgets") as its reason for not calling makedirs, so the code now matches the
docstring rather than contradicting it.

M5 - THE PRUNE MUTATION SURVIVED BECAUSE THE STIMULUS WAS DEGENERATE. §8's
clock-jump check seeded ONE day, so `if len(self._days) <= KEEP_DAYS: return`
fired and the body it is named after never ran: pruning by arithmetic against
the clock - which empties the store on exactly the morning the fill is for -
passed the whole 29-file suite. The fixture is now written to a file and
reopened (`_load()` does not prune, which is how a store legitimately holds more
than the cap) with KEEP_DAYS + 2 days, and the mutant is red.

M6 - THE AST ORDERING CHECK COULD NOT CATCH A REVERSAL, AND TWO DOCUMENTS CITED
IT AS A GUARANTEE. `_calls.index("_remember") < _calls.index("yesterday")` grades
`ast.walk` BFS DEPTH: `self._remember(...)` is a statement and
`self.yesterday(...)` is an ARGUMENT of the fill, one level deeper, so
`_remember` came out first whichever statement was written first - shipped and
reversed both scored True. It is now line numbers AND, the half that matters,
the behaviour: a feed carrying yesterday alongside today into an EMPTY store
must fill the whole horizon; reversed, the lookup finds nothing and the plan is
only the published hours. Reversing the two statements is red on both.

L14/L9 - KEEP_DAYS = 3 IS THE STEADY STATE EXACTLY, so a newest-N cap has no
slack: a feed publishing to D+2, or ONE stray point in the wrong year - which
sorts LAST and can never age out - pushes yesterday out for good. `_prune()` now
PINS the two days a lookup can actually ask for on top of the cap. Pinning is
additive, so it can only RETAIN and the WITNESS-03 property (nothing is deleted
by clock arithmetic) is preserved by construction; `stamp` stops being a dead
parameter; the store is bounded at KEEP_DAYS + 2.

L8 - the horizon end was not floored while `since` was, so a 48 h request made
at any instant off the hour returned 49 points. §1's count was green only
because its NOW was exactly :00:00, a shape production never has; the fixture
now sits at :17:43. L10 - a failed `_save()` leaked its temp file; at 48 writes
a day a persistent write failure leaked 48 inodes a day onto the volume that was
already the problem. L15 - `{"version": 1.0}` passed, since `1.0 == 1`. L16 -
the `_remember` tree walk scanned `app/*.py` only and matched a bare string; it
now parses `app/`, `tools/`, `scenarios/` and `estop/` and looks for the NAME,
so a comment does not fail it and a call in `tools/` cannot pass unseen.

CLAIM-ACCURACY DEFECTS, WHICH THIS REPO TREATS AS REAL:

* L7. DOCS said "*Tariff* on the status page reads `provisional` through the
  morning". FALSE - `tariff_words` is assigned only from the HA price-entity
  branch and from `static_status()`, both on the 30 s tick, and the plan's own
  sentence reaches `_LOG.info`. The doc now says what an operator can see (the
  Price history row, the Arbitrage row's own refusal sentence, the refresh log
  line) and a check pins the PAIRING - wiring the plan into the row is fine,
  correcting the doc is fine, doing one without the other is red.
* L11. "fills EVERY unpublished hour" is conditional: a partial yesterday leaves
  the local hours it never held out of the series (§11.4 for those hours, and
  `at()` raises rather than answering). Correct behaviour, overclaimed wording,
  and untested - all three fixed.
* L12. DECISIONS §1 leaned on `TariffPlan.cheap_now()`, which has NO PRODUCTION
  CALLER on the provider plan (`self.cheap` comes from `static_status()`, which
  builds its own). The conclusion holds on `arbitrage()`'s firm-pair refusal
  alone, which does reach control; the evidence is now stated at the reach it
  has.
* L13. §1's "passed through by identity" check compared `eur_per_kwh` between
  two SEPARATE `resolve_tariff()` calls, where `is` could never have held. The
  value comparison is kept and now says what it grades; identity is graded on a
  read the file constructs and still holds.
* L17. `PriceHistory.words` and the new status row had no check at all - and
  `words` is one of the two things H2 crashed. Both now have one.
* L18. main.py's inline note carried the "widens what the optimiser can SEE,
  never what it may act on" guarantee without the windowing caveat that the
  CHANGELOG, DOCS and `resolve_tariff()`'s docstring all carry. It is the one
  place a maintainer reads it unqualified.

EVIDENCE. All eight reviewer proofs re-run: p1/p1b return 29 March, p4 keeps
60 of 60 firm points at spread 0.134, p5 starts and reports, p6 D leaves no
temp, p6 E refuses 1.0, p6 F records nothing, p7 returns 48 for 48. p2's script
still scores True/True because it re-implements the OLD algorithm - the
reversal is now driven as a mutation instead, and is red. p3's script always
showed the shipped code correct; what was wrong was the fixture, and its mutant
is now red. Twenty mutations driven, no survivors, tree fingerprinted and
`__pycache__` purged before each: decimation (2 suites red), audit x3, unfloored
`until` (2), unvalidated day records (7 checks), instant-subtraction yesterday,
in-memory fill on a volume-less store, clock-arithmetic prune, cap without the
pin, leaked temp, loose schema type, empty `words` (5), reversed `carry()` (2),
a `_remember` leak in tools/ spelled two ways, a neighbour-filling fallback, a
copy instead of identity (2), the DOCS claim in both directions, and the caveat
removed from main.py. Baseline and the unmutated tree both green.

No option added, config.yaml untouched, and the CHANGELOG entry still picks no
version: PKG-07's rule, and only the deployer knows whether 0.9.0's image has
been pulled.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-09 23:54:23 +02:00
glenn schrooyenandClaude Opus 5 0618194d9c FCST-04: the carry-forward fill reaches the plan, and the day it carries survives a restart
checks / unit (pull_request) Successful in 7m11s
FCST-03 shipped `fill_from_yesterday()` complete and checked, and shipped the
consumers written for it - `TariffPlan.firm_points()`, `cheap_now()`'s refusal
of a provisional hour, and `arbitrage()`'s refusal 3, which drops provisional
hours from the trade set rather than refusing the whole series. It shipped NO
CALLER. Nothing in `app/` named the fill, so no series ever contained a carried
point and every one of those consumers was exercising its all-firm branch.

⚠️ THE DEFECT THAT PRODUCED WAS NOT AN ERROR ANYWHERE. `load_prices()` returns
what the feed published and nothing widened it to the requested horizon, so on
a dynamic site between midnight and the 14-16 h CET publication the plan
covered the rest of today and nothing more - measured on the fixture here, 24 h
against a 48 h request. `arbitrage()` then took `max - min` over that truncated
window and reported a spread. The number was real, the window was half the one
configured, and nothing said so: tomorrow evening's peak, the hour a morning
charge would be sold into, was not in the series to be compared against
anything. A missing hour is not a wrong price - it is an hour the optimiser
never learns exists.

WHAT THIS ADDS. `app/price_history.py` keeps the PUBLISHED prices of the last
KEEP_DAYS Brussels days in /data/price_history.json; `resolve_tariff()` gains a
required keyword-only `history` and fills every unpublished hour of the horizon
from yesterday's same-wall-clock hour, flagged. Persistence rather than a
variable on the refresh task, because the window the fill exists for is
midnight -> publication and an add-on restarted at 08:00 would otherwise spend
all of it on the truncated series. Not in state.json: the refresh runs every
1800 s and that file holds the maintenance history and SAFETY-02's latch.

⚠️ ONE CHANGE HERE MOVES ENERGY, AND IT IS NOT THE ONE THE CARD IS NAMED FOR.
Carried hours are provisional, so §8.3 keeps them out of the trade set: the
fill widens what the optimiser can SEE, never what it may DO, and
test_price_history.py checks that so it cannot be overclaimed later. What does
change a trade is that the filled series is windowed to [since, until), so
hours that have ALREADY ELAPSED are no longer in the spread. Before, a cheap
night that had gone sat in the series as the day's cheapest hour - and a cycle
cannot buy in an hour that is past, so the trade was quietly never taken.
Section 2 grades this by finding the cheapest firm hour with and without the
fill and showing it MOVES, from 02:00 UTC to 08:00 UTC on the fixture.

⚠️ A DEAD FEED IS STILL §11.4, NOT YESTERDAY. The fill runs only on a `series`
read. The two are indistinguishable to the optimiser - both 100 % provisional,
so arbitrage refuses on the firm-pair rung and `cheap_now()` is False - so
preferring yesterday's feed over the `static_profile` an operator configured
FOR that case would change a documented degradation for a difference only the
status page can see. That, and two more, in
DECISIONS/FCST-04-the-day-that-is-carried.md.

⚠️ THE ANTI-DECAY RULE IS AN ORDERING, NOT A VALIDATION, and saying so is more
useful than a guarantee that would not hold. Feeding the filled series back in
is how this rots - day 2 carries day 1's guesses, day 3 carries day 2's carry
of them, behind a `provisional` flag that stays TRUE while the NUMBER decays.
No value-level check can catch it: a carried point and `eneco_eddy`'s
published-provisional quarter are the same three fields with the same flag. So
`carry()` is the only public entry, it records BEFORE it fills, the filled
series exists only as a return value the object never sees again, and
test_price_history.py walks app/ for any other module naming `_remember` and
reads `carry()`'s AST to pin the order.

EVIDENCE. 29/29 test files pass in the CI image. Eight mutations driven against
app/price_history.py and app/static_tariff.py, __pycache__ purged before each
run per MUTATION.md/TEST-15: newest-record lookup (5 red), recording the filled
series (1), replace-instead-of-merge (10), UTC-date keying (10), removing the
fill call entirely (12), a lost price field defaulting to 0.0 (2), prune by
clock arithmetic (1), a degraded reason that stops naming its cause (1). No
survivors; baseline and revert both green. Three of those first crashed the
harness instead of reporting a FAIL - "it was refused" and "it broke on the way
to being refused" must not grade the same - so `why()` and `_priced()` were
added and the run repeated.

No option added, config.yaml untouched, and the CHANGELOG entry deliberately
picks no version: PKG-07's rule, and only the deployer knows whether 0.9.0's
image has been pulled.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
2026-09-09 19:37:45 +02:00