OPT-15: price-run fixes (quarter edge, charge-end overshoot, refusal probe)

F1: with battery modes on, the peak guard projects the quarter `now` is in
even before its first P1 sample (PeakTracker.project(roll=True)), and only
a measured stop latches the period. The edge tick no longer reads "no
seconds left", so a charge is not stopped and latched at a quarter edge.

F2: after a run edge the loop is held at E until the meter shows the step
(EDGE_HOLD_S, longer while the battery still moves). The replay gained a
lag model (dead time, reading age, P1 debounce, 1 s cycles) that shows
TEST-23's overshoot without the hold.

F3: a charge refuser's SAFETY-73 probe inside a cheap run is a charger
pinned at PROBE_W, the others rest, so the probe actually runs.

Modes off stays byte-identical to 5a4cdc2 (new late-P1 identity scenarios).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

goodwe_controller/DECISIONS/OPT-11-battery-modes.md

@@ -50,7 +50,7 @@ P1 is its section 6 P1, and the pull request lists what was measured.
     needs its own run to clear the spread (without: a night charge was spent
     on flat morning prices, then charging went on at them);
   - a run edge reseeds the loop at the house's level (a 3 kW import spike
-    removed; about 0.1 x rating still overshoots as export).
+    removed) and, since OPT-15, holds it there until the meter shows the step.
 - Replay (tools/opt11p3_replay.py, 16 recorded days, EPEX hourly prices a
   year earlier, modelled batteries), net EUR, lower is better: P2 19.33, P3
   Solar first + Leftover solar 19.57, with a sale 19.60, the old one-period
@@ -75,3 +75,33 @@ P1 is its section 6 P1, and the pull request lists what was measured.
   P2's 19.33; Solar first + Cheap hours only 19.57.
 - Not done in P3: the forecast (P4), and a headroom too short for the run
   moving the rest to the next cheap periods.
+- OPT-15 (TEST-23 findings on 5a4cdc2, `test_price_run_fixes.py`):
+  - F1, a charge stopped at a quarter edge and latched for the quarter. The
+    P1 averager opens a quarter only when a sample arrives, and the HA source
+    builds one 0.35 s after the reading, so the cycle on the boundary still
+    saw the old block: "no seconds left", headroom None, "no trade
+    (headroom)", latched for the new quarter. With modes on the guard now
+    projects the quarter `now` is in (`PeakTracker.project(roll=True)`,
+    crediting the held sample as the averager will), and only a measured
+    stop latches. Modes off still reads the old block (identity).
+  - F2, -1120 W export at a charge end against -257 W modelled. The replay
+    acted every 5 s on readings of that instant, and by then the lagged
+    battery had nearly arrived, so it never acted on a reading that still
+    showed the trade. The add-on cycles on each meter update (1 s on the rig)
+    on readings 1-2 s old: the two cycles after the reseed saw the trade's
+    +3300 W and slewed E up 555 W each. The loop now holds E until the meter
+    reaches the target (or `EDGE_HOLD_S`, 18 s; to 36 s while the battery
+    still moves). The replay gained `Lag` (dead time, reading age, the P1
+    debounce, 1 s cycles). Charge end, 800 W house: -10 to -51 W over eight
+    lag variants; without the hold -1370 W (meter 2 s).
+  - F3, a charge refusal in a cheap run was never probed: the SAFETY-73 pin
+    stands only while the site asks that way, and nothing asked to charge.
+    Probing was chosen over changing the card: the probe is 200 W for 34 s
+    each 15 min under the same peak gates, and it wins back the run. In its
+    probe window the refusing battery is a charger, pinned at 200 W by its
+    own claim, and the others rest. At one inverter SAFETY-52 already ends a
+    charge refusal as soon as the house asks for power.
+  - Not fixed, same on 5a4cdc2: with lagged readings a headroom-sized quarter
+    banks up to 1.4 W over the aim (48.6 W under the cap), and a battery
+    reading older than the meter can make a charge start look like a house
+    over the aim, a real guard stop.