SAFETY-90: the peak guard goes on after a P1 meter gap
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A meter gap past meter_max_age_s left seconds the quarter average never
counted, so the guard was blind for the rest of the quarter (rig case 7b:
3964.8 W against a 3450 W aim). Once readings are back, the missed seconds
now count at the higher of the limit and the import seen just before and
just after the gap with the batteries at 0 W (peakguard.gap_w/fill_gaps);
the gap's first meter_max_age_s is topped up to that too. Seconds before
the add-on's first reading count at the aim, and the page says part of the
period was not measured (EN/NL). The bill record is unchanged; no option.

DECISIONS/SAFETY-90-peak-guard-after-a-gap.md, test_safety90.py.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Claude (SAFETY-90 dev)
2026-10-05 11:46:58 +02:00
parent 3ed3302d2f
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# SAFETY-90 - the peak guard goes on after a P1 meter gap
**Status: DEV 2026-10-05, for review.** Tests: `test_safety90.py`.
**The defect.** A meter gap longer than `meter_max_age_s` leaves seconds the
quarter average does not count (`p1.QuarterAverager`, on purpose: a guess must
not reach the bill record). `peakguard.blindness()` then called the projection
blind for the rest of the quarter, so the floor was 0 W. During a HOLD the
battery gave nothing and the quarter went over: SAFETY-86 rig case 7b, N=2,
3964.8 W against a 3450 W aim, the month peak raised; N=1, 3701 W (review).
The page still read "Keeping the grid near zero". At start-up mid-quarter the
same rule left the start-up quarter blind, and a held battery was drawn as last
resort (SAFETY-91 test, O2).
**The fix** (`peakguard.fill_gaps()`, `peakguard.gap_w()`,
`Controller._fill_peak_gaps()`).
- Once readings are back, every second of a silence longer than
`meter_max_age_s` counts at `gap_w = max(the limit, the import just before
the gap, the import just after it)`, where "import" is the grid plus the
batteries' discharge, i.e. with the batteries at 0 W. The gap's first
`meter_max_age_s`, which the averager credits at the last reading, is topped
up to `gap_w` too. The guard then grades the quarter as usual, so it is not
blind and gives what keeps the quarter at the aim.
- **The bound.** The count is at or above the true import as long as, during
the gap, the house load stayed at or under the higher of the loads seen just
before and just after it, or under the limit, and the batteries did not
start charging (during a gap they hold their last command, then go to 0 W).
It never counts the gap below the limit. A load that rises above all three
only inside the gap is the one case it can miss.
- **Cost of the bound.** It is conservative: with the house at 6500 W, a 30 s
to 5 min gap lands the quarter 100-180 W under the aim (table below), paid in
battery energy.
- **While the gap lasts** nothing changes: the reading is too old to steer by,
the guard is blind (floor 0 W) and the "inputs missing" stop sets 0 W, as
before.
- **Before the first reading** (start-up or restart mid-quarter) nothing is
known, not even the house load, so a conservative count has no basis: the
connection rating would make every restart drain at full power and raise
"Load too high". Those seconds count **at the aim**, so the guard keeps the
rest of the quarter on the aim, and the page says so: the status row "Peak
guard: part of this 15-minute period was not measured, counted as on
target" and the home line "Part of this 15-minute period was not measured." /
"Een deel van dit kwartier is niet gemeten." until the quarter ends.
- The bill record (`quarter_blocks`) is unchanged: it still banks only what
was measured. The estimate steers the guard and is never banked.
- The action log gets one `PEAK_GUARD_GAP` row per gap, with the seconds and
the watts it was counted at.
- No option. The threshold is `meter_max_age_s`, the limit and the aim are
`peak_cap_w` and `peak_margin_w`.
**Before -> after** (`test_safety90.py`, quarter as the meter really averages
it, gap starting 300 s in; 10 s battery lag; aim 3450 W):
| case | before | after |
|---|---|---|
| N=1 HOLD 6500 W, gap 30 s / 60 s | 3456.6 / 5329.2 | 3346.2 / 3272.2 |
| N=1 HOLD 5500 W, gap 5 min | 4717.9 | 3330.6 |
| N=2 HOLD, B able, 6500 W, gap 30 s / 60 s | 3456.6 / 3865.6 | 3346.3 / 3272.7 |
| N=2 HOLD, B able, 5500 W, gap 5 min | 3745.4 | 3288.9 |
| N=2 HOLD, B held, 5500 W, gap 60 s | 3254.9, B drawn 2500 W | 3335.4, B 0 W |
| gap across the edge, next quarter, N=1 / N=2 | 4100.0 / 3621.2 | 3446.3 / 3382.2 |
| house 3000 -> 6500 W inside a 60 s gap, N=1 | 5255.6 | 3368.3 |
| house 6500 -> 2000 W late in a 5 min gap, N=1 | 3629.2 | 3145.1 |
| start-up 450 s into the quarter, N=1 (first half at the aim) | 4975.0 | 3450.0 |
| meter never drops, N=1 and N=2 | | rows identical |
**Not changed.** The late-reading edge (SAFETY-91 test, O1): a reading late by
less than `meter_max_age_s` is not a gap, and the seconds since it are not
counted in the projection (on any quarter, not only after a gap). Near a
quarter's end the 900/remaining gain turns that into a large negative excess
and the floor drops for a cycle or more. Counting those seconds at the held
reading would fix it, but it changes every quarter's last seconds on a
healthy meter; it is handed back as its own card.