TARIFF-11: the plan's account of itself, corrected and put on the page

Four defects of one shape - the add-on's report of its own tariff plan was
wrong, always in the direction that flattered it - and one check, which is
the deliverable.

1. `TariffPlan.words` counted POINTS and called them HOURS. The live add-on
   logged `dynamic_dayahead from generic_dayahead, 132 h` for 132
   quarter-hourly points = 33 hours. Belgium moved to a 15-minute MTU on
   2025-10-01, so this was wrong every time it was printed, and NOT by a
   constant factor: a 40-hour soak measured 1.79x .. 5.33x, because §8.3's
   carried points are hourly while the firm ones are quarter-hourly.
   `words` now reports both quantities, plus the firm/carried split and the
   spacing, in FCST-04's *Price history* wording so the two rows can be
   compared.

2. §8.3's firm-pair refusal and the flat-tariff refusal did the same, and
   they reach an operator through `self.arb.explain()`. This is exactly the
   point<->hour conflation TARIFF-14 removed from `at()`, left standing in
   the prose. `price_forecast.py`'s §8.3 carry-forward log line carried the
   third instance - a carried-HOUR count over a POINT count - and DOCS
   quotes it verbatim, so it is corrected here too.

3. The plan reached no HTTP surface at all. `rows["Tariff"]` was
   `static_status()`'s 30 s-tick sentence and never saw the provider plan -
   it read 'no static profile' at all 802 soak samples on a site whose feed
   was answering. It now carries the plan's shape. ⚠️ The two sources are
   kept distinguishable: the plan half is stamped with its own age, measured
   from `tariff_at`, because it can be up to TARIFF_MAX_AGE_S (5400 s) old.
   FCST-04 pins that row to DOCS as a pair; DOCS moves in this commit.

4. `main.py`'s "if and only if" was false. `cycle()` returns at the input
   hold before `self.arb = None`, so an armed site read
   `off (arbitrage_enabled)` - naming an option that is on - and, after one
   completed cycle, showed a decision up to 15 s stale as a current one. The
   row now reads the OPTION and separates three facts; `cycle_at` and
   `arb_at` make "this cycle reached no decision" an observation.

THE DELIVERABLE IS THE CHECK. All four survived 29 green suites because
nothing graded the strings a human is shown. `test_price.py` section 12
renders through the shipped `status_payload()`, parses each number out of
its OWN SLOT and compares it against a figure computed from the fixture's
construction parameters - not from the property the row was built out of
(habit 4), and not as a substring of a sentence the same file wrote (habit
14). The fixture set is four plan shapes and the check computes and prints
the field pairs no fixture separates. The *Arbitrage* row's states are
driven through real cycles with a sensor answering None and graded by
INEQUALITY.

No behaviour changed: no threshold, refusal rung, claim or setpoint moved.

MUTATIONS: 16, no survivors, one at +0 B (the risky delta) and red. Two were
found by the battery INSIDE THIS CARD'S OWN CHECK: a -190 B survivor whose
fixture varied two things at once (habit 4), and a mutation whose red was a
TRACEBACK in an f-string operand and therefore named nothing (FCST-06). Both
closed; the table is on the PR.

All 29 test files green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BwRLw7eKYj2byVdwB6kbjU
This commit is contained in:
2026-09-13 13:51:05 +02:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 5
parent 068b83f57c
commit 610725bed9
6 changed files with 1170 additions and 28 deletions
+160 -10
View File
@@ -218,6 +218,106 @@ def pack_energy_of(inv):
inv.capacity_kwh, inv.max_w)
def tariff_plan_row(plan, tick_words: str, *, age_s, horizon_h: float,
provider: bool, max_age_s: float) -> str:
"""The *Tariff* status row: the 30 s tick's sentence AND the provider plan.
THE DEFECT THIS PREVENTS (TARIFF-11). `origin`, `product`, the horizon,
the firm/carried split and the spacing appeared in NO status row. The row
was `static_status()`'s sentence alone, computed on the 30 s I/O-free tick
from its own static plan, and it NEVER SAW the provider plan - it read
`'no static profile'` at all 802 samples of a 40-hour soak on a site whose
feed was answering. The only external evidence a plan existed at all was
one `_LOG.info` line, and that line carried the point<->hour mislabel
`TariffPlan.words` is fixed for.
⚠️ TWO SOURCES, TWO CLOCKS, AND THE ROW SAYS SO IN WORDS. These sentences
are NOT computed at the same moment and presenting them as though they
were would be a new version of the defect being fixed:
`tick_words` static_status() / the Home Assistant price entities,
regenerated on THIS tick, every 30 s, I/O-free;
`plan` the background refresh's resolution, up to
TARIFF_REFRESH_S old before it is retried and up to
TARIFF_MAX_AGE_S (5400 s since TARIFF-12) old before
`fresh_tariff_plan()` retires it.
So the plan half is stamped with its OWN age in seconds, measured from
`tariff_at` - the moment of the fetch that produced it, which TARIFF-12
deliberately does not move on a kept plan.
⚠️ AND `age_s` IS THE CALLER'S MEASUREMENT, NOT THIS FUNCTION'S. A clock
read in here would be a second clock disagreeing with the one that decided
the plan was fresh enough to pass at all.
⚠️ "NO PLAN" IS SAID OUT LOUD ON A SITE THAT CONFIGURED A PROVIDER. A
dynamic site whose refresh has never completed, or whose plan has aged
past `max_age_s`, is the exact state the soak measured; rendering it as
the bare static sentence is how it stayed invisible for 802 samples.
"""
if plan is None:
if not provider:
return tick_words
return (f"{tick_words} (recomputed this tick); NO provider plan - "
f"none has been resolved yet, or the last one is older than "
f"{max_age_s:.0f} s")
return (f"{tick_words} (recomputed this tick); provider plan fetched "
f"{age_s:.0f} s ago for a {horizon_h:.0f} h horizon: {plan.words}")
def arbitrage_row(*, on: bool, decision, decided_at, cycle_at, now,
why: str) -> str:
"""The *Arbitrage* status row: THREE states, which used to render as two.
THE DEFECT THIS PREVENTS (TARIFF-11). The row was
`"off (arbitrage_enabled)" if self.arb is None else self.arb.explain()`,
under a comment asserting that `self.arb is None` if and only if
`arbitrage.enabled(self.o)` was False. IT IS NOT: `cycle()` returns at the
input hold - inputs missing, `bad_for < stale_input_s`, default 15 s -
BEFORE it reaches `self.arb = None`. Driven: `arbitrage_enabled: true`
plus a sensor answering `None` gives `arbitrage.enabled(opts) = True`,
`self.arb = None` (its `__init__` value, untouched) and a row reading
`off (arbitrage_enabled)` - NAMING AN OPTION THAT IS ON. Past the first
completed cycle the same early return leaves the PREVIOUS decision
standing instead, which the row then rendered as a current one.
THE THREE FACTS, and they are three because they have three remedies:
trading is off the operator has not armed it. Nothing is
wrong and nothing will happen.
no decision this cycle it is armed, and the cycle did not get as far
as the arbitrage step. `why` is the control
loop's own reason - usually "inputs missing".
a decision the strategy's own sentence, with the age of
the cycle that produced it.
⚠️ `on` IS READ FROM THE OPTIONS, NOT INFERRED FROM `decision is None`.
Inferring it is the whole defect: the option is the only thing that
answers "is trading armed", and it is available on every render.
⚠️ THE AGE IS ALWAYS PRINTED, INCLUDING WHEN IT IS ZERO. A row that
reports staleness only once it is stale cannot be told, on any single
render, from one that never reports it - and the bound TARIFF-10's
comment claimed did not exist is ~15 s of it.
"""
if not on:
return "off - `arbitrage_enabled` is false, so nothing trades"
if decided_at is None:
return (f"ON (`arbitrage_enabled`), but NO DECISION has been reached "
f"yet - no cycle has run as far as the arbitrage step. The "
f"loop's own reason: {why or 'none recorded'}")
age = (now - decided_at).total_seconds()
stale = cycle_at is not None and decided_at < cycle_at
head = (f"no decision this cycle ({why or 'no reason recorded'}); the "
f"last one was taken {age:.0f} s ago: " if stale else
f"decided {age:.0f} s ago: ")
if decision is None:
return (f"ON (`arbitrage_enabled`), no decision this cycle "
f"({why or 'no reason recorded'}), and none stands from an "
f"earlier one")
return head + decision.explain()
class Controller:
def __init__(self, opts: dict, hass: HomeAssistant, store, mqtt_pub, *, stop,
peak_db_path: str = "/data/tariff.db",
@@ -796,6 +896,19 @@ class Controller:
self.tariff_plan = None
self.tariff_at = None
self.arb = None
# TARIFF-11. WHEN the standing arbitrage decision was taken, or None if
# this controller has never reached the arbitrage step. ⚠️ `self.arb is
# None` DOES NOT MEAN "TRADING IS OFF" AND NEVER DID - see
# `arbitrage_row()`. It also means "cycle() returned before the step
# ran", and at that point `self.arb` is either this attribute's initial
# None (startup) or the PREVIOUS cycle's decision (an input hold), and
# the status row rendered all three identically.
self.arb_at = None
# TARIFF-11. When the most recent cycle() STARTED. `arb_at < cycle_at`
# is the exact, derived statement of "the latest cycle did not get as
# far as the arbitrage step", which is the fact the *Arbitrage* row
# used to render identically to "trading is switched off".
self.cycle_at = None
self._arb_action = None
self.inputs_bad_since = None
# SAFETY-03. What the loop's OWN bounds did last cycle - a
@@ -1565,6 +1678,24 @@ class Controller:
self.cheap, self.tariff_words = static_status(
o, datetime.now(timezone.utc))
# ⚠️ TARIFF-11. THE PROVIDER PLAN REACHES THE *Tariff* ROW HERE, AND
# THIS IS THE ONLY PLACE THE TWO SOURCES MEET. Everything above is the
# 30 s I/O-free tick; `fresh_tariff_plan()` is an attribute read and an
# age comparison against TARIFF_MAX_AGE_S - still no fetch on this path,
# which is the rule the whole branch above exists to keep. What the row
# gains is the plan's SHAPE (origin, product, horizon, the firm/carried
# split, the spacing) and what it must never gain is the suggestion
# that the two halves were computed at the same instant, so the plan
# half carries its own age in seconds. See `tariff_plan_row()`.
_tick = datetime.now(timezone.utc)
_standing = self.fresh_tariff_plan(_tick)
self.tariff_words = tariff_plan_row(
_standing, self.tariff_words,
age_s=(None if _standing is None
else (_tick - self.tariff_at).total_seconds()),
horizon_h=float(price_option(o, "price_horizon_h")),
provider=provider_configured(o), max_age_s=TARIFF_MAX_AGE_S)
if self.inputs_ok:
if self.inputs_bad_since is not None:
self.log_event("inputs recovered")
@@ -1918,6 +2049,11 @@ class Controller:
method's only job is to state honestly what each strategy wants.
"""
now = datetime.now(timezone.utc)
# ⚠️ BEFORE THE FIRST `return` OF THIS METHOD, ON PURPOSE (TARIFF-11).
# It stamps that a cycle RAN, which is a different fact from any of the
# decisions the cycle may or may not reach, and the status row needs
# the two separately.
self.cycle_at = now
# ⚠️ EACH PACK ON ITS OWN READING, NOT "the SoC". §12's recalibration
# drains and refills ONE pack and grades ONE coulomb counter, so each
@@ -2577,7 +2713,13 @@ class Controller:
# `frozenset()` would be main.py asserting a forecast is healthy when
# there is not one, which is exactly what static_tariff's `uncertainty`
# argument has no default in order to prevent.
self.arb = None
# ⚠️ TARIFF-11: BOTH ATTRIBUTES, AND `arb_at` IS WHAT MAKES THE ROW
# HONEST. Reaching this line is the only proof that this cycle got as
# far as the arbitrage step; the early return at the input hold above
# leaves BOTH standing at whatever the last completed cycle left, and
# `arb_at` is then the age the status row reports rather than a
# decision presented as current.
self.arb, self.arb_at = None, now
if arbitrage.enabled(self.o):
floor_pct, ceiling_pct = arbitrage.soc_bounds(self.o)
charge_w, discharge_w = self.trade_power_w(floor_pct, ceiling_pct)
@@ -4481,15 +4623,23 @@ class Controller:
# every refusal it can make already carries a reason a human can
# act on, and "Arbitrage: no" would throw all of them away.
#
# ⚠️ TARIFF-10 RE-READ THIS STRING AND LEFT IT ALONE, which is worth
# saying because that card is about the two switches being
# different. `self.arb` is None if and only if
# `arbitrage.enabled(self.o)` was False, so `off (arbitrage_enabled)`
# still names the option that is actually off - and on a site with a
# provider configured it is now the row that says the prices
# arriving on the *Price history* row above are moving nothing.
("Arbitrage", "off (arbitrage_enabled)" if self.arb is None
else self.arb.explain()),
# ⚠️ TARIFF-10 RE-READ THIS STRING AND LEFT IT ALONE UNDER A
# COMMENT THAT WAS FALSE, AND TARIFF-11 IS THAT CORRECTION. The
# claim was that `self.arb is None` **if and only if**
# `arbitrage.enabled(self.o)` was False. Only the forward direction
# holds: `cycle()` returns at the input hold (`bad_for <
# stale_input_s`, default 15 s) BEFORE it reaches `self.arb = None`
# at all, so on an armed site `self.arb` is `__init__`'s None at
# startup and the PREVIOUS cycle's decision during a later hold -
# and the row rendered `off (arbitrage_enabled)` on a site whose
# `arbitrage_enabled` is `true`. `arbitrage_row()` reads the option
# instead of inferring it, and separates "trading is off" from "no
# decision was reached this cycle"; `cycle_at` and `arb_at` are what
# make the second one an observation rather than a guess.
("Arbitrage", arbitrage_row(
on=arbitrage.enabled(self.o), decision=self.arb,
decided_at=self.arb_at, cycle_at=self.cycle_at,
now=datetime.now(timezone.utc), why=self.reason)),
]
return {
"banner": banner, "level": level, "rows": rows, "checks": checks,
+12 -2
View File
@@ -422,9 +422,19 @@ def fill_from_yesterday(read: PriceRead, *, yesterday: PriceRead,
_audit(out, published)
carried = sum(1 for p in out if _utc_hour(p.start) not in published)
if carried:
# ⚠️ THREE QUANTITIES, THREE NAMES (TARIFF-11). This line read
# "%d of %d hours ... ; %d published" with `carried` (a count of
# carried HOURS - the fill emits exactly one point per unpublished
# hour) over `len(out)` (a count of POINTS, four per hour wherever the
# feed printed) and `len(out) - carried` (POINTS again) under the same
# noun. On the Belgian quarter-hourly feed that reads "33 of 141
# hours" about a 48-hour horizon. The fill's unit is the HOUR and the
# feed's is the POINT; nothing derived from one answers for the other.
total_h = len({_utc_hour(p.start) for p in out})
_LOG.info("§8.3: %d of %d hours carried forward from yesterday's "
"profile and flagged provisional; %d published",
carried, len(out), len(out) - carried)
"profile and flagged provisional; the feed published %d "
"points over the other %d hours",
carried, total_h, len(out) - carried, total_h - carried)
product = read.match(series=lambda r: r.product,
no_data=lambda _r: yesterday.product)
+138 -9
View File
@@ -771,6 +771,63 @@ class TariffPlan:
series=lambda r: any(p.provisional for p in r.points),
no_data=lambda _r: True)
# -- the plan's SHAPE, in the two units it actually has (TARIFF-11) ------
# ⚠️ POINTS AND HOURS ARE TWO NUMBERS AND THIS PLAN HAD ONLY EVER
# REPORTED ONE OF THEM, UNDER THE OTHER'S NAME. `words` read
# `f"... {len(self.read.points)} h"`, which counts POINTS: on the
# quarter-hourly Belgian feed (15-minute MTU, 2025-10-01) a 33-hour plan
# logged `dynamic_dayahead from generic_dayahead, 132 h`. It is the same
# conflation TARIFF-14 removed from `at()` and FCST-04 removed from the
# *Price history* row, left standing in the prose. ⚠️ AND THE ERROR IS
# NOT A FLAT 4x: a 40 h soak measured 1.79x .. 5.33x, because §8.3's
# carried points are HOURLY while the firm ones are quarter-hourly, so
# the ratio moves with the firm/carried mix as the day goes on. Nothing
# derived from ONE of these numbers can answer for the other.
@property
def n_points(self) -> int:
"""How many points the series carries. A `no_data` read carries none."""
return self.read.match(series=lambda r: len(r.points),
no_data=lambda _r: 0)
@property
def hours(self) -> int:
"""How many distinct WHOLE CLOCK HOURS those points touch.
Same rule as `price_history._held()`, deliberately - the *Tariff* and
*Price history* rows describe the same feed and an operator reading
`132 points over 33 h` beside `96 points over 24 h` must be able to
compare them. A point is attributed to the UTC hour its own start
falls in; hours the feed never printed are simply not in the set, so
this counts what is PRICED rather than what was asked for.
"""
return self.read.match(series=lambda r: _whole_hours(r.points),
no_data=lambda _r: 0)
@property
def n_firm(self) -> int:
"""Points carrying a published price for their own interval (§8.3)."""
return len(self.firm_points())
@property
def n_carried(self) -> int:
"""Points filled from yesterday's profile, or from §11.4's fallback."""
return self.n_points - self.n_firm
@property
def spacings_s(self) -> tuple:
"""The distinct gaps between consecutive points, ascending, in seconds.
⚠️ MIXED IS THE NORMAL STEADY STATE, NOT AN EDGE CASE. FCST-04's
carry-forward emits HOURLY carried points beside QUARTER-HOURLY firm
ones and the soak measured `[900, 3600]` in 70 % of samples - so a
surface reporting one global spacing would be wrong about the usual
case. `price._cover_table()` is where that rule is enforced; this
only reports it.
"""
return self.read.match(
series=lambda r: _spacings(r.points), no_data=lambda _r: ())
def price_at(self, instant: datetime) -> float:
"""EUR/kWh now. Raises `Absence` when there is no price - never 0.0."""
return self.read.match(
@@ -926,20 +983,30 @@ class TariffPlan:
pts = self.read.points
firm = tuple(p for p in pts if not p.provisional)
if len(firm) < 2:
# ⚠️ POINTS, AND THE HOUR FIGURE BESIDE IT RATHER THAN INSTEAD OF
# IT (TARIFF-11). This sentence read "only 1 of 96 hours carry a
# published price" about 96 quarter-hourly points, which are 24
# hours - the point<->hour conflation TARIFF-14 removed from
# `at()`, still standing here, and this one reaches an OPERATOR
# through main.py's *Arbitrage* row and not only the log.
return Arbitrage.refuse(
f"§8.3: only {len(firm)} of {len(pts)} hours carry a published "
f"price - the rest are provisional (origin {self.origin!r}), "
f"and no irreversible action may be taken on a provisional "
f"price. A buy hour and a sell hour must BOTH be firm before a "
f"cycle can be committed. Load shifting, self-consumption and "
f"peak shaving continue")
f"§8.3: only {len(firm)} of {len(pts)} points carry a "
f"published price - {_whole_hours(firm)} of "
f"{_whole_hours(pts)} hours - and the rest are provisional "
f"(origin {self.origin!r}), so no irreversible action may be "
f"taken on them. A buy interval and a sell interval must BOTH "
f"be firm before a cycle can be committed. Load shifting, "
f"self-consumption and peak shaving continue")
spread = round(max(p.eur_per_kwh for p in firm)
- min(p.eur_per_kwh for p in firm), 6)
if spread == 0.0:
# ⚠️ POINTS AND HOURS, SEPARATELY, for the §8.3 rung's reason -
# this sentence counted points and called them "firm hours" too.
return Arbitrage.refuse(
f"the tariff is flat - every one of the {len(firm)} firm hours "
f"costs {firm[0].eur_per_kwh:.4f} EUR/kWh, so buying low and "
f"the tariff is flat - every one of the {len(firm)} firm "
f"points, spanning {_whole_hours(firm)} hours, costs "
f"{firm[0].eur_per_kwh:.4f} EUR/kWh, so buying low and "
f"selling high is arithmetically impossible. §9.2: a fully "
f"fixed product is self-consumption only")
@@ -969,15 +1036,77 @@ class TariffPlan:
@property
def words(self) -> str:
"""The plan's whole shape in one sentence - LOG *AND* STATUS PAGE.
⚠️ THIS STRING IS OPERATOR-FACING SINCE TARIFF-11, which is a reason
for its wording to matter MORE rather than less. It used to reach only
`_LOG.info("tariff refreshed: %s")`; main.py's *Tariff* row now carries
it, age-stamped, so every number in it is read by somebody who cannot
see the object.
⚠️ EVERY QUANTITY IS NAMED IN ITS OWN UNIT. `{n} points over {h} h` is
FCST-04's *Price history* wording on purpose - the two rows describe
the same feed and have to be comparable - and the firm/carried split
and the spacing are here because they were the two facts the soak
found an operator could not learn at all: the plan was `provisional`
for 76 % of a 40-hour soak and mixed 900/3600 s for 70 %, and no HTTP
surface said either.
"""
if not self.has_prices:
return f"no tariff - {self.read.reason}"
tag = {"provider": self.read.provider, "static": "static_profile",
"fallback": "static_profile (feed down)"}.get(self.origin,
self.origin)
return (f"{self.product.value} from {tag}, {len(self.read.points)} h"
gaps = self.spacings_s
return (f"{self.product.value} from {tag}, "
f"{self.n_points} points over {self.hours} h, "
f"{self.n_firm} firm / {self.n_carried} carried"
+ (f", {'+'.join(str(g) for g in gaps)} s spacing"
if gaps else "")
+ (", provisional" if self.provisional else ""))
def _whole_hours(points) -> int:
"""How many distinct whole CLOCK HOURS a point list touches. Never raises.
THE DEFECT THIS PREVENTS (TARIFF-11). Three sentences in this module
reported `len(points)` under the name "hours": `TariffPlan.words`, §8.3's
firm-pair refusal and the flat-tariff refusal. On the hourly series that
was the only resolution any fixture carried before TARIFF-08 the two
numbers are identical, which is why it shipped; on the Belgian
quarter-hourly feed (15-minute MTU, 2025-10-01) `words` read
`dynamic_dayahead from generic_dayahead, 132 h` for 33 hours and the
refusal read `only 1 of 96 hours` for 24.
⚠️ IT IS NOT `n / 4`, AND A CONSTANT FACTOR IS THE WRONG FIX. §8.3's
carry-forward emits ONE HOURLY point per unpublished hour beside the
feed's four-per-hour firm ones, so the measured overstatement over a
40-hour soak ranged 1.79x .. 5.33x as the mix moved. The hour count has
to be COUNTED.
⚠️ IT COUNTS PRICED HOURS, NOT THE HORIZON. FCST-04 leaves an hour out
of the series when neither the feed nor yesterday can price it, so this
is at most the horizon and is smaller whenever the plan has holes - which
is the honest direction for a figure an operator reads as "how far ahead
do I have prices".
"""
return len({p.start.astimezone(timezone.utc)
.replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0) for p in points})
def _spacings(points) -> tuple:
"""Distinct gaps between consecutive points, ascending, in whole seconds.
Sorted by START, not by list order: `price._cover_table()` establishes
that order for `at()` rather than assuming it, and a surface that reported
the gaps of an unsorted list would print negative spacings about a series
that answers correctly.
"""
starts = sorted(p.start.astimezone(timezone.utc) for p in points)
return tuple(sorted({int((b - a).total_seconds())
for a, b in zip(starts, starts[1:])}))
def _absent(reason):
raise Absence(
f"this plan observed no prices ({reason}). A number invented here is "