TARIFF-24 round 2: a usable solar forecast replaces the "no weather" x1.5 (AUDIT-02 F1)
With battery modes on, the price gap a mode needs was always widened x1.5 by Uncertainty.NO_WEATHER, even with a solar forecast read, so a 0.08 day/night gap never traded at the shipped cycle cost. The doubt is now added only when no usable forecast is read (solar_fc is None, the day plan's own test), in the run plan (_price_runs), the charge gate (_mode_roles) and Home's mirror (homeview.trade_verdict). The rule is one helper, arbitrage.weather_uncertainty(); the modes-off trade path (main.py cycle) keeps its literal NO_WEATHER. DOCS "Battery modes" sentence, CHANGELOG 0.19.1 line and the DECISIONS note follow. Tests: test_tariff24_weather.py. Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Claude
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@@ -2250,7 +2250,7 @@ class Controller:
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required = price_required_spread(
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arbitrage.threshold_eur_kwh(self.o),
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price_uncertainty_of(plan.read.product)
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| {Uncertainty.NO_WEATHER})
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| arbitrage.weather_uncertainty(True, self.solar_fc))
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ref = self._ref_cheap
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if ref is not None and now - ref.end > REF_CHEAP_KEEP:
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ref = self._ref_cheap = None
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@@ -2329,7 +2329,7 @@ class Controller:
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return plan.arbitrage(
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peak_guard_active=active,
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min_spread_eur_kwh=arbitrage.threshold_eur_kwh(self.o),
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uncertainty=frozenset({Uncertainty.NO_WEATHER}),
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uncertainty=arbitrage.weather_uncertainty(True, self.solar_fc),
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now=now).match(
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allowed=lambda _v: True, refused=lambda _v: False)
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if guard is not None and plan is not None and runs is not None:
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